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Quote of the Day: Syria and North Korea Cooperate On Missiles and Chemical Weapons

2018-02-28

Establishing the origins of such weapons has been difficult. In November, Russia used its Security Council veto to end the work of an independent panel investigating chemical weapons used in the Syrian conflict. The Joint Investigative Mechanism, as it was known, had found that both the Syrian government and Islamic State militants had used chemical weapons in the war, though Russia’s ambassador to the United Nations labeled the panel’s reporting “a joke.”

This is the last paragraph of an article in the New York Times that describes the extensive and long-standing (since the 1960s) cooperation between North Korea and Syria in missile and chemical weapons technology.  The Syrians even built, with North Korean help, a plant to produce plutonium, whose primary use is in nuclear weapons.  Israel bombed and destroyed that plant in 2007.  Russia supports the Syrian government in the civil war and spends a small sum on supporting the North Koreans, primarily to keep the United States off balance.

Stories such as this undermine the futility of attempting to end the use of chemical weapons, or the war on civilians generally.  The United Nations, the only world-wide organization with a mandate to end war, is hamstrung by a civil war that appears to represent the vendetta of a Syrian minority religious community and certain individuals in supreme power from that group against a country full of citizens from other religious faiths.   There is no suitable mechanism in the United Nations to deal with civil wars.

Such disturbances are described as “internal matters” and the UN merely bestows legitimacy on one particular claimant to represent the nation.

After the next world war, if there is a civilization able to sustain any world-wide organizations, perhaps then the issue of civil wars with at last be dealt with by some mechanism.

An idealist would suggest a world-wide court of democratic adjudication which could document the claims of populations and somehow administer justice and rehabilitation to places in danger of destruction by civil war.  Such a court would determine the areas of land to which people could legitimately lay claim and the forms of government that would be established (presumably by consent of the governed.)

A Hundred Years Ago, the Universe Was Not Expanding

2018-02-27

Just over a hundred years ago, in 1915, Einstein introduced general relativity to the world.  It was so complex that it was said that only three people in the world understood it.  That is not actually true; quite a few people had a pretty good idea of what Einstein was proposing.  What is true is that, a hundred years later, our computers are not up to the task of calculating solutions to his equations, as David Wilshire said in 2008:

“But Einstein’s equations (1915) are in general so complex that we cannot solve them for the distribution of matter we actually see, even on a computer.”

Many things have happened in the last hundred years.  When I was a child, the concept of what I am doing right now was a distant dream: using a computer as a typewriter as well as a telegraph machine– with color illustrations.  Computers brew coffee, drive cars, and help us observe galaxies 10 billion light-years away.   We have decided that the Universe is 13.8 billion years old, is expanding and is flat, but with no edges and no corners.

One of the things that has happened relatively (!) recently is that a mysterious quantity, dark energy, has been proposed as an explanation for a puzzling observation: the rate of expansion of the Universe actually appears to be speeding up.  This really doesn’t make sense, particularly because if it were true, eventually the entire Universe would be ripped apart– possibly soon, as one recent science-fiction short story has made painfully real for us.

As David Wiltshire explained in 2008 in a simple overview and in this highly technical paper describes, this is only an apparent problem due to the inhomogeneity of matter distribution that was created when the Universe first appeared.  Matter is inhomogeneously distributed because, due to the uncertainty principle (with which Einstein famously had a lot of trouble), when space and time first appeared, one couldn’t be sure whether there was matter or space in any particular place.

As a result of this inhomogeneity in the beginning, at the present time there are huge voids in the Universe– voids within which there is virtually no matter at all, only space.  We exist within a filament or bubble which contains a significant density of matter; virtually all stars, galaxies, and so forth exist within these locally dense areas.  The Universe as a whole can be thought of as a huge Swiss cheese, a very tenuous one.

Because of this, all stars that are observed to be travelling away from us following the Hubble Constant are apparently also speeding up their withdrawal.  This apparent speeding up is due to our local clock time, which has slowed down in relation to the average clock time in the Universe; the average clock time runs faster because it is measured within those voids.

In other words, the apparent speeding up of cosmic expansion is due not to a mysterious dark energy (which has not yet been found) but to normal Einsteinian mechanics.  Every “standard candle” we observe that is telling us how far away it is and what the Hubble Constant is, is located within a region of space that contains matter and thus has its time slowed down relative to the clocks within the voids.  Of course, those voids don’t contain any clocks because they are empty, but if they did, they would run faster than ours.

Empty space is expanding at a rate that tells us that it is negatively curved, like a saddle; our space, the space that contains matter, is not expanding because its gravity binds it together.  Here is a quote from the abstract of the latest paper:

“Generic averages of Einstein’s equations in inhomogeneous cosmology lead to models with non-rigidly evolving average spatial curvature, and different parametrizations of apparent cosmic acceleration. The timescape cosmology is a viable example of such a model without dark energy. ”

It’s pretty complicated, but eventually the majority of cosmologists will get their heads around it and forget about searching for dark energy.  It has only been ten years or so since Wiltshire pointed out that our clocks are running slower than the Universe’s average clock, and less than a hundred years since Edwin Hubble discovered (in 1922-23) that there was a larger Universe outside the Milky Way– a universe that, he announced in his first published paper in 1929, is expanding.

(Here is David Wiltshire’s latest paper, with Lawrence H Dam and Asta Heinesen.  Here are more references to the absence of dark energy: an article in the International Business Times from 9/14/2017 where the theory is called “timescape cosmology”; and an article from Science April 3, 2017) 

(After that, you’re on your own.  See Wikipedia for more information about Edwin Hubble and cosmology)

(photo courtesy of pixabay.com and geralt)

(Please notify me in the comments about any errors)

Quote of the Day: The Russians are Coming

2018-02-27

Washington (CNN) — US Cyber Command chief Adm. Mike Rogers told lawmakers on Tuesday that he has not been granted the authority by President Donald Trump to disrupt Russian election hacking operations where they originate.
Asked by Democratic Sen. Jack Reed if he has been directed by the President, through the defense secretary, to confront Russian cyber operators at the source, Rogers said “no I have not” but noted that he has tried to work within the authority he maintains as a commander.

Let us be clear: we expect Admiral Rogers to confront the Russians on his own authority and we do not find the lack of direction from Mr. Trump to be surprising.

On Tuesday, Rogers reiterated that he still views Moscow as a threat to the 2018 elections, a stance that is consistent with what he and other top national security officials told the Senate Intelligence Committee earlier this month.
“We expect Russia to continue using propaganda, social media, false-flag personas, sympathetic spokesmen and other means to influence, to try to build on its wide range of operations and exacerbate social and political fissures in the United States,” Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats previously testified.
“There should be no doubt that Russia perceives its past efforts as successful and views the 2018 US midterm elections as a potential target for Russian influence operations,” he said.

A third grader should understand at this point that the Russians are coming and we should be very, very cautious around strangers.

Web Site Specializing in Biomedical News

2018-02-27

This website you will find useful if you want to dive deeply into biomedical news: statnews.com but be aware that it is ultimately sponsored by Elsevier, which is a giant medical publisher, particularly of journals.  Elsevier does not have a sterling reputation– see also Retraction Watch– but it does generally provide information, in a stodgy sort of way.  You will be shocked, shocked I say, by the User Agreement that they bind you to– an agreement that is there, apparently, to provide employment to lawyers and nothing else.  Oh, well, even lawyers gotta eat.

(photo courtesy of pixabay.com and DarkoStojanovic)

Man Arrested for Riding a Horse While Drunk on Highway 91 in LA

2018-02-26

The LA Times reported yesterday that a man was arrested while riding a white Arabian horse on the 91 freeway in Los Angeles on Saturday– his blood alcohol level was 0.21%.   He claimed to be celebrating his 29th birthday.  Apparently there were additional charges pending on this young man.  There is, in  fact, a specific section of the vehicle code that requires a person riding an animal to obey the same rules as a person in a motor vehicle.  You’re not supposed to ride a horse on the freeway anyway.

Quote of the Day: Congress not Interested in Trump’s Financial Deals

2018-02-26
Senator Ron Wyden: “Counterintelligence 101 is following the money, because following money is how you compromise people.”
Republicans, who are controlling the Congressional committees that could be investigating the allegations of collusion between Russians and Trump’s presidential campaign, are not interested in following the money trail that connects the Russians to Trump himself.
The CNN article about Republican’s disinterest in Trump’s financial dealings has this to say:
Sen. Ron Wyden, ranking Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee and senior member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, has for months been frustrated with the lack of access to Treasury FinCEN documents. The Oregon Democrat recently fired off a letter for more Treasury documents, this time to obtain records about a lucrative 2008 real estate deal between Trump and a Russian billionaire that raised questions among Democrats about potential money laundering and suspect business dealings.
But Utah Sen. Orrin Hatch, the chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, has declined to join Wyden in these efforts. And he has rejected Wyden’s requested to review Trump’s tax returns in a private session.
“We’re not going to do that,” Hatch said in the Capitol. “He doesn’t want to give up his tax returns, and I believe he’s right.”

‘A policy dispute’

In an interview, Wyden said the Senate Intelligence Committee, under the chairmanship of Sen. Richard Burr, has shown little willingness to pursue these lines of inquiry as well.
“This is a policy dispute,” said Wyden, who also sits on the Intelligence Committee. “The chairman does not believe that this is really the focus of the committee’s work. I, on the other hand, say counterintelligence is right at the heart of our obligations. Counterintelligence 101 is following the money, because following money is how you compromise people.”
Clearly, the elected Republicans who control Congress have no interest in learning how Donald J. Trump was compromised by his financial dealings with Russian oligarchs.  This is the heart of the issue: corruption by money.  Trump was co-opted by the Russians, who gave him large amounts of money disguised as purchases of luxury properties– money-laundering, in short.
(photo courtesy of pixabay.com and sajinka2)

Quote of the Day: Russian Agents Use Cheap and Effective Methods to Sabotage American Social Media

2018-02-25

From the Hill:

A former FBI official said Sunday that Russia’s interference in the 2016 presidential election was cheap and effective in sowing discord between Americans.
Leo Taddeo, the former special agent in charge of the Special Operations/Cyber Division of the FBI’s New York office, told AM 970 The Answer’s John Catsimatidis that the Russian meddling described in indictments filed by Robert Mueller’s special counsel office “really undermined” American democracy.
“I think it’s fairly clear the Russians have a cheap and effective way to sow discord and confusion and really undermined the basic principles of democracy,” Taddeo said. “It really wouldn’t matter what the issue was, as long as people were disagreeing.”

. . .

“If Americans aren’t so confident in their president or the Congress or their government in general, then it makes America weaker when it comes time to act on the foreign stage … It’s a brilliant use of a simple technique that’s cheap relative to other intelligence operations [designed] to weaken us,” Taddeo added.

. . .

“This indictment serves as a reminder that people are not always who they appear to be on the internet,” Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein told reporters while announcing the indictments.

“The indictment alleges that the Russian conspirators want to promote discord in the United States and undermine public confidence in democracy,” the deputy attorney general added.

The purpose of Russian activities– which we can call “sabotage” although it no longer involves throwing wooden shoes into machinery– is to weaken American confidence in their essential institutions, especially the democratic process.  Russians particularly dislike democracy because it interferes with the ability of their oligarchs (rich men in industry) to control the government by monopolizing the positions of power held by elected officials.  With democracy, positions of power are elective– held by the consent of the people who are governed; in an oligarchy, positions of power are permanently usurped by a few wealthy individuals.

The social media used by the Russians for their sabotage are inherently unstable and prone to causing dissension.  Users of these media feel free to espouse extreme views because they feel anonymous when posting on large, faceless sites like Facebook and Twitter.  There are almost no consequences for posting offensive speech.

 

(Photo courtesy of pixabay.com and Anestiev)

Quote of the Day: Paul Krugman on Good Government

2018-02-23

For whatever reason, there’s a faction in our country that sees public action for the public good, no matter how justified, as part of a conspiracy to destroy our freedom.

This paranoia strikes both deep and wide. Does anyone remember George Will declaring that liberals like trains, not because they make sense for urban transport, but because they serve the “goal of diminishing Americans’ individualism in order to make them more amenable to collectivism”? And it goes along with basically infantile fantasies about individual action — the “good guy with a gun” — taking the place of such fundamentally public functions as policing.

Anyway, this political faction is doing all it can to push us toward becoming a society in which individuals can’t count on the community to provide them with even the most basic guarantees of security — security from crazed gunmen, security from drunken drivers, security from exorbitant medical bills (which every other advanced country treats as a right, and does in fact manage to provide).

In short, you might want to think of our madness over guns as just one aspect of the drive to turn us into what Thomas Hobbes described long ago: a society “wherein men live without other security than what their own strength and their own invention shall furnish them.” And Hobbes famously told us what life in such a society is like: “solitary, poor, nasty, brutish and short.”

. . .as I have said before, government doesn’t have to be bad; good government provides individuals with public transportation, security, medical care without crushing bills, and armed responses by trained personnel to active shooters–  There were revelations that there was an armed security guard from the local police stationed at Parkland who waited four minutes outside the school while a killer rampaged inside and shot 17 people to death in six minutes.  Only in Florida, a “stand your ground” state, where amateur shooters are promoted by the state government.)

(quoted from Krugman’s op-ed column in the NYT; there’s little to add because Krugman hits the nail on the head, as usual)

(image courtesy of pixabay.com and Open-Clipart-Vectors; chosen because Lenin believed that government had to be destroyed in order to be remade– not because he was a “collectivist”)

This comment was submitted in response to Krugman’s piece:

Joe Gilkey

Seattle 1 hour ago

While arming teachers in this day and age is not a good idea, we do have an abundance of highly qualified veterans in need of a good job that would make short work of these cowards that prey on unarmed students. It would be worth every penny of the added expense if future perpetrators knew they would be up against combat experienced ex servicemen with protective vests and automatic weapons, who would without question risk life and limb to protect a school full of children. There may be innocent life lost with this approach to protection, however it would put an end to these massacres occurring today. Trump was right in saying this was a soft target, and until we reach the end of the violent reactionary potential of today’s youths, we do have the people with the needed skills, and the willingness, to prevent any more of these unopposed tragedies.

This was the most popular comment, from Australia:

TJ McWoods

Tasmania 13 hours ago

As an expat of 14 years, raising a teenager in Australia, and viewing the USA from a great distance, the differences between nations is stark.

My daughter takes yearly water safety classes taught through year 10 in Oz. School safety means not running in the hallways. She will never experience an active shooter drill. Australia has NEVER experienced a school shooting.

My daughter has yet to see an armed security guard anywhere in Australia but I clearly remember my then 10 year old daughter asking me why an armed guard was in grandma’s local (USA) library.

My daughter has never met an Australian who owns a gun. I doubt she ever will.

My daughter will likely never lose an Australian relative, friend or school mate to a gun death. I’ve lost a grandmother and 2 close friends to gunfire, but that was in the USA. Hasn’t happened here.

My daughter does not get startled by noises that sound like gunfire. I still instinctively look for cover. She thinks I’m weird.

Fortunately we get to see all the US mayhem from afar. Unfortunately, 10’s of millions of American school children do not.

This comment was also very popular:

David Doney

I.O.U.S.A. 13 hours ago

One of many obvious problems with arming teachers is that shooters nervous they might face a teacher with a pistol* will simply pick a different soft target (e.g., restaurants, malls, day care centers, etc.) Are we going to arm everyone? Day care center nannies with shotguns, anyone?

In addition to the prudent measures we hear about all the time, we can take a lesson from cars and healthcare insurance (pre-Trump) and require all gun owners to be insured. They would have to be members of a well-regulated state militia with financial liability for the misdeeds of its members, with insurance premiums paid for by those members based on the risk profile of the militia.

This is only fair, as who has to pay for the misdeeds of the shooters? You and me through higher law enforcement and health insurance costs.

*Pistol-toting half-trained teachers are not a big worry for a moderately skilled shooter with an assault rifle anyway. And they can kill dozens before teachers can react with such weapons. And do you want the teachers in a gun battle with an assailant with your kids in the crossfire? We have to get the guns off the street.

Obviously, arming teachers (as Don the Con suggested) is a bad idea– taking down a teenager armed with an AR-15 requires special training and experience, not something the average teacher can acquire.

Florida Representatives Declare Pornography “A Public Health Risk”

2018-02-21

According to The Hill’s state watch news, and the Joe Reedy of the Associated Press, the Florida House of Representatives passed by voice vote a bill that declares that pornography is “a public health risk” shortly after defeating a bill to ban the AR-15 assault rifle by a two-thirds majority.

The author of the resolution, who is running for attorney general, claims that

there’s research showing a connection between pornography use and mental and physical illnesses, forming and maintaining intimate relationships and deviant sexual behavior.

Unfortunately, under hostile questioning, the author was unable to cite any deaths or injuries due to pornography, nor any instances of first responders seeking counseling– unlike the consequences of using AR-15’s.

(photo courtesy of pixabay.com and Bru-nO)

Mueller: Paul Manafort Committed Bank Fraud in 2016 To Obtain New Mortgages

2018-02-21

Several news outlets have reported that Special Prosecutor Mueller has additional evidence against Trump’s ex-campaign chief Paul Manafort related to his new home mortgages obtained during and after the campaign in 2016.  Apparently, Manafort made false statements on his applications for mortgages on some homes that he owned, including overstating his income from his consulting business.  The Hill also reported that Manafort may have promised a banker a Trump administration job in exchange for loans.  The banker in question served on Trump’s council of economic advisers but did not get an administration job.  One loan administrator felt “pressured” to approve the loans.

(Legos courtesy of pixabay.com)