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Ebola, the World-Beater

2014-09-27

The Ebola virus is spreading out of control through the population of Liberia because of a lack of treatment facilities.  Patients are dying at home, and when they vomit up blood, they are spreading the virus to everyone around them.  It is not for a lack of attempts by relatives of victims to get help, as described by journalists.  It is simply that all the hospitals are full, and have to turn away patients at their gates.  The Ebola virus is transmitted by close contact and exposure to the victim’s excreta, which are increasingly blood-tinged as the week or so of active illness progresses.  Then the corpse is highly infectious.  The best the government can do now is pick up the corpses for disposal.  An estimate of present capacity states that 18 percent of Ebola patients are being treated in hospital (this estimate comes from the New York Times, of course).

The American military has sent a team to build hospitals for another 1700 patients.  This may be of some help, but if the circle of contagion spreads as it has been, in a month there will still be five times as many patients as beds.  The Ebola epidemic is at a stage in which it is spreading rapidly, and it is difficult to predict how many people will eventually be involved.   There is the possibility of millions of dead, but it seems unlikely.  Only time will tell.

Ineluctable Destruction

2014-09-24

Here’s a quote from a couple of years ago that pretty much says it all:

Mulga Mumblebrain says:

The inertia in the climate system means we are already dead. Our demise is pre-determined, and we are a wraith civilization of walking dead, only awaiting reality to catch up with necessity. The inertia of the life-hating Right makes this certainty more certain, but will, at least, provoke the crisis, which will rapidly, given the Right’s perennial preference, descend into war and genocide, that much sooner.

 

Ms. Mumblebrain appears to have prophesied what we were talking about a few weeks ago.  I’m not at all convinced that we’re all going to die; I think that many will survive and with time will be much changed.  The only question is how many will survive and under what conditions?

Another Cause of High Medical Costs in the US

2014-09-20

There’s an article in today’s New York Times online about a man who had a three-hour surgery to repair a herniated disk in his neck that required a plate and screws to fuse his spine.  No doubt this was a delicate operation.  The man, who worked in insurance, was prepared to get a bill for $133,000 from his primary surgeon; he knew that the doctor would accept a steep discount.  He was not prepared for a bill for $117,000 from the secondary surgeon, whom he could not remember meeting and was “out of network” although he was head of department at a major hospital.  This doctor would not accept a discount and would not bill his primary insurer.

In this case, his insurance company agreed after discussion to pay the full amount to the secondary surgeon although the primary surgeon accepted a discounted fee of $6,3oo.  The insurance company even sent the patient a check to send on to the secondary surgeon.  The patient was hesitant, but eventually was forced to pass the check on.

The article goes on to mention a number of cases of this type of hidden charge, many even more egregious.  For example, an outside company was contracted to perform the nerve monitoring in this man’s surgery so that the surgeons would know if his nerves were being impinged on during surgery.  This company wouldn’t take the insurance and wanted him to sign a financial consent while he waited to go into the operating room.  Then the man who was there didn’t know how much it would cost and had to call his office.  The patient actually negotiated down the fee which the company was demanding.

Then the article describes what would happen if the patient had been covered by Medicare: the assistant surgeon would have been limited to a fee of 16 percent of the primary surgeon’s fee.  A number of abuses of this type are prevented by Medicare, but anything goes when it comes to the interaction between private insurance companies and medical contractors like doctors, technicians, and laboratories.  Fees have risen to astronomical levels and only the recession since 2008 has had an effect.

The article can be reached at: http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/21/us/drive-by-doctoring-surprise-medical-bills.html

The point is that the private insurance companies don’t have the clout that Medicare does.  There are some very simple reforms that would go a long way towards limiting medical costs.   The first would be to qualify everyone for Medicare, even illegal aliens.  The second would be to give the negotiating power over drug costs to Medicare Part D that the Veteran’s Administration has.  Part D currently has no ability to negotiate the costs of medicine; it must pass on the entire retail cost to the patient.  This provision, probably included to save time when negotiating the bill originally, is a sop to the drug manufacturers that insures their profits at the expense of the patient.

It does seem basically unfair to allow all the negotiating power to the private medical contractor and the drug manufacturer at the expense of the patient.  Some simple changes to how the government pays for medical care would make a tremendous difference in evening out medical expenses and taking the burden off of people who are increasingly unable to pay.

How I Started Smoking, Chapter One

2014-09-20

When I first moved to Jacksonville with my father I was eight.  At first, I would hang out with the kids who lived across the alley from our house.  We hid in the bushes around the entrance to the library or the girl’s dorm, and when people put out their cigarettes in the sand dishes provided, we salvaged what was left.  Usually this wasn’t worth smoking, but often someone would leave half or more of a cigarette.  The deep sand in the dishes was perfect for this since people usually just pushed their butts straight into the sand.

For a year or so I hung out with these kids, but they turned out to be juvenile delinquents of some sort.  I gradually stopped hanging out and stealing butts.  A few years later, the Surgeon General’s Report came out.  This report stated without any equivocation that cigarettes cause lung cancer.  It made a great impression on me

The next time I tried smoking, I was fifteen and visiting the study room at the high school.  I was about to graduate and I didn’t have any classes with any of the high school teachers.  One of the kids in the study hall offered me a cigarette, and, in a rebellious mood, I tried it.  It made me dizzy and nauseated.

I have quit smoking many times since then, but never permanently.

PS now that my father, who is eighty-six or eighty-seven, has lung cancer, I have more of an incentive to quit smoking permanently.

Red is In this Year

2014-09-20

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Baby Camel Scratching

2014-09-19

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Feeding Time

2014-09-18

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Dreaming of Bamboo

2014-09-17

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Half Asleep

2014-09-15

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Asleep

2014-09-13

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